Archive for August, 2011

Italian Austerity; Gov’t Split & Bond Auctions

Tuesday, August 30th, 2011

Filettino mayor Luca Sellari pictured on the town's currency

A small town in central Italy is trying to go independent and mint its own money in protest at government austerity cuts. Filettino, set in rugged hill country around 65 miles east of Rome, is rebelling against a proposal to merge the governments of towns with fewer than 1,000 inhabitants to save money. Filettino has only around 550 people, but instead of merging with neighboring Trevi, mayor Luca Sellari is trying to go it alone and set up a “principality” along the lines of the famous republic of San Marino to the north. He has started minting Filettino’s own bank currency, the “Fiorito,” with his photo on the back, which he says is already being used by the townsfolk. We aim to achieve real autonomy from Italy and we have the financial resources to do it.

Mayors from all over Italy are up in arms about proposals to cut local government funding and merge small towns as part of a 45.5 billion euro ($65.3 billion) austerity plan to balance the country’s budget by 2013. Mayors plan a protest in Milan Monday although media reports say the government is preparing significant changes to the budget, including a substantial dilution of the proposals on local government.

Austerity

Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has agreed to revamp the current $65 billion austerity plan. This is the third attempt in the last several weeks to balance the Italian budget. The new plan announced Monday includes a crackdown on avoiding property taxes, and delays retirement for some Italians. Few details were announced on how the latest austerity plan would work. The plan backtracks on some earlier proposals that cut funding to local governments, but keeps others in place. The plan also drops a proposed special tax on high earners.

Parliament returns from vacation next week and will start to examine the latest proposal. The Italian Senate is scheduled to vote on the latest austerity plan by mid-September. Prime Minister Berlusconi’s office said the new changes must be approved by Italian lawmakers within the original timeframe and achieve the same level of savings as the original plan. Italy is working on plans to balance the budget by 2013.

Bond Auction

Italy sold nearly 8 billion euros of government bonds on Tuesday in a keenly awaited auction that, despite recent ECB support, met relatively weak demand and threatened to re-ignite market pressure on the highly indebted country. Lower-than-expected demand at the auction — seen as a key test of emergency steps taken to control the euro zone debt crisis pushed Italian bond yields higher and sparked a rally in safe-haven German debt. The rise in yields, which nonetheless stayed well below levels hit before the European Central Bank (ECB) began buying Italian debt three weeks ago, raised questions about the sustainability of Rome’s funding efforts and threw the focus on to a Spanish bond auction on Thursday.

Traders said the ECB stepped in after the auction to buy significant amounts of 10-year Italian debt, halting the rise. The results look a bit worse than the market was expecting, with the 10-year looking weak with a rather small bid cover ratio. The market is likely to lose a bit of confidence from this auction until 10-year Italy stabilizes, which is in the ECB’s hands. The launch of a new 10-year benchmark bond drew bids worth 1.27 times the 3.75 billion euros sold, below the year’s average bid-cover ratio on equivalent auctions of 1.4. The ECB began buying Italian debt on the secondary market earlier this month in an unprecedented step to counter rising yields caused by investor concerns over the country’s high debt levels and stuttering fiscal reforms.

The intervention brought benchmark 10-year yields down from levels well above 6 percent, seen as unsustainable, to around 5 percent. The current 10-year benchmark yielded around 5.14 percent in the cash market, up around 5 bps on the day. The new 10-year bond sold at a yield of 5.22 percent, broadly in line with grey market prices ahead of the sale. That yield compared to 5.77 percent at an auction of the previous 10-year bond in July, before the ECB’s intervention. The auction will do little to alleviate the market’s central fear that Italy, seen as too big to be bailed out, will not be able to issue bonds at an affordable level to finance its huge 1.9 trillion euro debt burden.

Italy must still sell up to 90 billion euros in bonds this year and ECB purchases have been steadily decreasing. The ECB support was clearly crucial. Without the ECB intervention a couple of weeks ago yields would not be trading at this 5 percent level so it might have easily been a full percentage point more. The fact that yields remained relatively stable last Friday and more importantly this morning shows indeed that the ECB was successful in stabilizing them but the big question is what happens going further. The ECB has bought around 43 billion euros worth of debt since it reactivated its bond buying program earlier this month, with market participants saying ECB buying has focused on Italy.

Raising the Stakes

A lasting resolution to the euro zone’s debt crisis, which has so far claimed Greece, Ireland and Portugal, remains vital to easing pressure on Italy and Spain but is proving elusive. Protracted wrangling over a deal announced last month to rescue Greece and expand the bloc’s crisis-fighting toolkit threatens to undermine policymakers’ efforts to date and keeps the pressure on the region’s peripheral states. Italy is clearly going to be in trouble as market are just going to say the euro zone is clearly non-functioning. The nervousness in markets raises the pressure on Thursday’s debt auction by fellow struggler Spain, which plans to launch a new 5-year benchmark with a 4 billion euro sale and whose bonds the ECB has also been buying.

The S&P Regains Key 1200 Mark

Monday, August 29th, 2011

Stocks closed near session highs Monday, fueled by a merger between two big Greek banks, a better-than-expected personal spending report and as the damage over the weekend was less than feared with insurers enjoying a relief rally after a tamer-than-expected Tropical Storm Irene. Against this backdrop, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rallied to within striking distance of its year-to-date break-even level, ending north of 11,500 for the first time in nearly four weeks. The DJIA settled near a session high, advancing 254.7 points, or 2.3%, by the close. What’s more, the blue-chip barometer ended north of its 10-day and 20-day moving averages for the first time since July 25. Likewise, the S&P (SPX – 1,210.08), adding 33.3 points, or 2.8% and regaining a pivotal 1200 mark for the bulls. The CBOE Volatility Index, (VIX) widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, fell below 33.

Here are my target areas for the S&P. My initial high has been 1225-1250 range. Today we broke through with conviction pass 1200. Once area is reached, I believe shorts will begin to re-enter markets to the downside. This has a striking pattern resemblance of the 1987 crash. Though I don’t believe we will re-test the 1330 high of 2011 

Initial Rally rebound to May 2010 high - 1225

2nd Area of Resistance to March & June low - 1250

3rd Area of Resistance 1293

Stocks Rally Post Hurricane Irene

Monday, August 29th, 2011

U.S. stocks rallied early Monday, extending last week’s advance, as investors breathed a sigh of relief that Hurricane Irene caused less damage than expected. The DJIA added 189 points, the S&P rose 23 points. With the weather story behind them, investors turned their attention to the damages from Irene, which were less dire than they had been fearing. That helped lift insurance company stocks. Morgan Stanley said they estimate total losses at below $10 billion, while Barclays estimate is $2 to $8 billion. Trading volume is expected to remain light as the New York subway system and commuter rail services slowly return to full service.

Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) rose 4.7%, leading the Dow’s advance. Allstate (ALL) shares climbed more than 7%, making the company a top gainer on the S&P 500. MetLife (MET) and Chubb Corp. (CB) spiked almost 5%. 

Investors also kept an eye on Europe’s ongoing debt problems. Greece reclaimed the spotlight after EFG Eurobank Ergasias and Alpha Bank — two of the country’s big lenders — announced plan to merge. That helped boost shares of the National Bank of Greece (NBG), which surged 32%. Bank mergers increase deposits, and improve balance sheets. That will help avoid anything catastrophic as far as Greece’s debt crisis goes.

Economics

Personal income rose 0.3% in July, while spending climbed 0.8% during the month. Economists were expecting income to tick up 0.4%, spending to edge up 0.5%. Pending home sales fell 1.3% in June, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales were expected to fall 1.4%, after rising 2.4% the prior month.

President Obama said he has chosen Princeton University labor economist Alan Krueger to become the top White House economist, succeeding Austan Goolsbee. The decision comes ahead of Obama’s jobs package speech, planned for shortly after the Labor Day holiday.

Coming Up This Week:

TUESDAY: S&P Case-Shiller home price index, consumer confidence, Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks, FOMC minutes
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, Challenger job-cut report, ADP employment report, Chicago PMI, factory orders, oil inventories, USDA’s agricultural trade outlook
THURSDAY: Weekly jobless claims, productivity and costs, ISM Mfg index, construction spending, chain store sales, auto sales
FRIDAY: Non-farm payroll

Benanke Disappoints Markets With No QE3

Friday, August 26th, 2011

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the Federal Reserve stands ready to use additional tools to help the US economy in its nascent recovery, but he stopped short of explicit talk that another round of monetary easing is forthcoming. Bernanke said the Fed will meet for two days in September instead of the planned one to discuss its options to provide additional monetary stimulus, among other topics. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 200 points, at one point or 1.62 percent, to 10,968.90 and since then had snapped back up to -70. The S&P slid 19.94 points, or 1.72 percent, to 1,139.33, now down 4.13. Stocks trimmed their losses to trade mixed Friday as Bernanke said the Fed remains ready to use additional tools to help the economic recovery.

The central bank chief’s hotly anticipated remarks did not entail promises of more quantitative easing—QE3 in market parlance—nor did he discuss specific measures on whether the Fed will make any other attempts at intervention. Instead, he mostly reiterated language already used by the Fed, in which it expressed concern about the pace of economic recovery. But he also said he expects growth to pick up in the second half. Should signs fail to materialize soon, the Fed’s Open Market Committee will consider additional policy tools at its September meeting. Bernanke said inflation is likely to stay below 2 percent, which would meet expectations.

On the economic front, the economy grew much slower than expected in the second quarter as GDP rose at an annual rate of 1 percent, according to the Commerce Department, a downward revision of its prior estimate of 1.3 percent. Economists had expected the growth to be revised down to 1.1 percent. Meanwhile, consumer sentiment edged up from its mid-August level but was still near recession-era lows. The index rose to 55.7 from 54.9 in the preliminary August report, according to the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey. Economists expected a reading of 56.0, according to a Reuters poll.  

Italy, France, Spain and Belgium extended their short-selling bans in a bid to stop the recent slump in bank stocks, and hinted the ban may not be lifted until October. European banks are down more than 30 percent in 2011.

Buffet Invests $5billion In BofA (NYSE:BAC)

Thursday, August 25th, 2011

PHOTO: Warren Buffett, chairman and chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. attends the Allen & Co. Media and Technology Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho in this July 7, 2011 file photo.

BofA

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway will invest $5 billion in Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), stepping in to shore up the company in the same way he helped prop up Goldman Sachs during the financial crisis. Bank of America shares rose 24 percent to $8.65 in early trading, erasing a large part of the stock’s August losses. This helps with the credibility gap that I think has existed in the minds of some shareholders. It reiterates the point that the balance sheet is healthy. They needed an endorsement in the market and they got it.

Bank of America will sell Berkshire // 50,000 shares of cumulative perpetual preferred stock with a 6 percent annual dividend, it said in a statement Thursday. Bank of America can buy back the investment at any time by paying Buffett a 5 percent premium. Berkshire also will get warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares at an exercise price of just over $7.14 a share, with the ability to exercise any time in the next 10 years. It is virtually a mirror of the deal Berkshire did with Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in the depths of the crisis in fall 2008, except in this case the dividend is less. The Goldman deal paid Berkshire $15 a second in dividends until Goldman bought Buffett out earlier this year.

Europe

The three major rating agencies Fitch, Moody’s and S&P reaffirmed Germany’s rating and outlook on Thursday, after the country’s main stock index fell sharply on market speculation that a downgrade was on the cards. The markets were awash with speculation throughout the afternoon, with German regulator BaFin earlier denying earlier rumors that a ban on short selling will be implemented for the DAX. We are not planning any changes of the short selling rules which are already in place, BaFin representatives said. US stocks dropped around 1 percent, tracking earlier weakness in the DAX and Europe.

Gold Correction

 Gold prices fell for the third day as stronger equities and hopes of more monetary stimulus emboldened traders to seek riskier investments. Gold prices have slumped 11% peak to trough, putting them firmly in correction territory, as fears about a U.S. recession and the spread of Europe’s sovereign-debt problems take a back seat to renewed risk appetite. Investors have been willing to pay higher and higher prices for gold, which soared to a record $1,917.90 a troy ounce, as growing uncertainty about the global economy stirred demand for a sound store of value. Gold has been the only safe haven for a while there but some trades are concerned that gold has been going parabolic, we’ve been going up since the middle of July with no meaningful pullback. 

The recent 10% correction in benchmark U.S. stock indexes has some investors searching for bargains and selling profitable gold positions to pay for stocks. There’s a sense that maybe this equity selloff has been over done,” while gold’s ascent has been too much, too fast. A speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke scheduled for Friday is further clouding the outlook for gold. Bernanke is due to address an economic symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyo., and many traders are hoping the Fed Chairman will hint at a third round of monetary stimulus. Dashing these hopes could damp the outlook for stocks and renew concerns about a U.S. recession, which would boost demand for gold as a haven. Yet, without such stimulus, inflation another driver of gold demand is unlikely to resurface. A lack of fresh easing signals by Bernanke on Friday could send gold down to $1,580

Gold on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell further on Thursday morning due to heavy liquidation after CME Group said it would raise margin requirements another 27 percent. As of the close of business tonight, speculators in Comex gold will be required to make an initial deposit of $9,450, up from $7,425 previously, to hold a benchmark 100-ounce gold contract overnight. The maintenance margin requirement for speculative traders and the margin for hedge accounts will rise to $7,000 from $5,500. By raising the margins, CME aims to rein in speculation by making it more expensive to hold the same amount of gold. This places short-term downward pressure on prices because smaller investors will be forced to liquidate positions to meet the higher margins.
“[But] while this might have placed a dampener on gold, and will probably continue to weigh on prices today, we don’t view this as overly bearish for gold.

But many in the market suspect that this is only the second in a series four or five margin increases. When silver approached $50 per ounce earlier this year, CME increased margins four times over a three-week period. “Proper margining would seem to be closer to $15,000 per contract, for given the volatility that exists presently the exchange needs to protect itself and its clients from the possibility that a large speculator or two or three cannot put the exchange into jeopardy.

Furthermore, exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors are currently taking profits after the record-breaking price rally and are shifting money to other investments such as equities, broker Commerzbank said in a note. For example, SPDR Gold Trust, the world largest ETF, registered outflows of more than 27 tonnes yesterday and 58.5 tonnes in total this week. “Although the price fall may to continue for a while, the lower price level could be used for greater physical gold buying, especially in Asia, and this is likely to prevent the price from dropping much further,” Commerzbank added. Another factor in gold’s slide has been the strong performance of the global share markets over the past several sessions. There is a feeling among market participants that equities had been oversold, while gold was overbought.

S&P Set To Hit Major Resistance At 1170

Wednesday, August 24th, 2011

Stocks gained across the board Wednesday, extending their sharp rally in the previous session, as Wall Street cheered a positive durable goods orders report.  But the gains were modest as investors remain cautious about the economy ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s key speech later this week. The DJIA rose as much as 110 points, or 1%, the S&P added 11 points, to major resistance of 1170. We’re currently under 1168. If we break through this mark by the end of the day, the bulls may be able to regain control for one more day.

On the economic front, durable goods orders jumped more than expected in July to 4 percent after a revised 1.3 percent drop in June, according to the Commerce Department. Economists were expecting orders to gain 2 percent, according to a Reuters poll. Durable goods, or items designed to last two years or longer, are typically purchased by consumers and corporations when they feel confident about the economy.The report suggests “that business investment growth may actually accelerate in the third quarter. Strong aircraft orders in July resulted in a much stronger-than-expected reading for big ticket item orders, a rare piece of good news amid the string of disappointing economic readings in recent months. A 43.4% spike in orders for nondefense aircraft and an 11.5% rise in new vehicle orders led the way to the better than expected result. There were drops in new orders for such items as computers and electronics, machinery, communication equipment and fabricated metal products.

Meanwhile, the federal budget deficit is expected to hit $1.28 trillion this year, down slightly from the previous two years, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The United States is still set to rack up large deficits in the next decade, but not quite as large as previously estimated. At the same time, economic growth is expected to be modest and the unemployment rate is likely to stay high for a few more years. 

The country is on track to accrue a $1.3 trillion deficit this year, marking the third straight year the country has built up $1 trillion-plus deficits, the official scorekeeper for Congress reported Wednesday. This year’s deficit would be the third-largest shortfall in the past 65 years, the first two largest were in 2009 and 2010.Over the next decade, the country is set to rack up a total of $8.5 trillion in new debt, with annual deficits averaging 4.3% of gross domestic product, the Congressional Budget Office said in its budget and economic outlook update. The deficit for this year will be twice that, at 8.5% of GDP.

By 2021, the debt held by the public — which excludes money owed to government trust funds such as Social Security — would reach 82% of the size of the economy, the highest it has been since 1948. On the bright side, those estimates are an improvement over what CBO was forecasting in January, when it estimated that the country would accrue $12 trillion in new debt over the next decade.

Japan’s yen plan

Following the downgrade, the Japanese finance minister announced a new $100 billion fund in another attempt to curb the yen’s strength. The fund will be used to make loans to the private sector to promote overseas investment and export. Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda also unveiled a rule that will require major financial institutions to report their currency trading positions.

DJIA Soars 322 Points on Pre-Jackson Hole Optimism

Tuesday, August 23rd, 2011

Stocks closed near session highs Tuesday, with the Dow posting its biggest gain in almost two weeks, despite a 5.8-magnitude earthquake in Virginia that shook parts of the U.S. East Coast and after investors shrugged off a handful of disappointing economic news. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 322.11 points, or 2.97 percent, to finish at 11,176.76—well above the psychologically-significant 10,800 level. The S&P jumped 38.53 points, or 3.43 percent, to end at 1,162.35. The FDIC also showed the number of failing banks shrank for the first time in nearly five years, falling by 23 institutions to 865. Investors felt more comfortable taking on risk and exited their safe haven positions in gold and U.S. Treasuries. Gold was down more 3% after hitting a record high earlier in the day, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose to 2.13% from 2.09% on Monday. Encouraging data from overseas got the proverbial ball rolling this morning, as investors celebrated solid manufacturing data from both China and Europe. Investors said Tuesday’s rally should not be looked at as a pivotal change in the direction of the market, saying the concerns about a U.S. economic slowdown and a European debt crisis the catalysts for the original sell off more than a month ago remain unresolved. U.S. stocks rose modestly Monday, as investors grappled with an uncertain economic outlook ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke. Bernanke’s speech will be given at the Kansas City Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Friday morning. Against this optimistic backdrop, a dose of dismal housing data was put on the proverbial back burner.

A magnitude 5.8 earthquake struck the U.S. East Coast from Virginia to at least Boston, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The Pentagon and U.S. Capitol Building in Washington were evacuated, as were courthouses in New York City. Treasury prices slipped even after the government auctioned $35 billion in two-year notes at a high yield of 0.222 percent and a bid-to-cover of 3.44. Volume was slightly above average with the consolidated tape of the NYSE at 5.02 billion shares, while 1.25 billion shares changed hands on the floor. Investors shrugged off news that new home sales dipped in July, to a five month low, according to the Commerce Department. And adding to the negative economic news, the Richmond Federal Reserve said its index of factory activity slumped in July amid slower growth in new orders and shipments.

U.S. Markets Rise In Morning Session

Tuesday, August 23rd, 2011

Markets were higher Tuesday, boosted by better-than-expected manufacturing data in Germany and China, and ahead of a handful of reports in the U.S.  Investors await the latest reading on new home sales. The DJIA is up 1% this morning. Stocks jumped at the open in the previous session, but the rally faded throughout the day as traders were hesitant to fully jump in without any proper market conviction. Investors will continue to remain cautious ahead of Bernanke’s speech, which comes amid ongoing signs of a weakening U.S. economy. His speech will be held at the Kansas City Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Friday morning. Meanwhile, a slight improvement in Chinese manufacturing helped boost markets around the globe.

Reports overnight suggested Bernanke will discuss ways in which the central bank could tweak its balance sheet as a means to put further pressure on medium- and long-term interest rates in order to keep them at their current historically low level. These could be implemented in September and October at coming Fed meetings.

On the economic front, new home sales for July is expected at 10 am ET.  Analysts forecast a 0.6 percent drop from June levels to an annual rate of 310,000 units, according to briefing.com. The government is scheduled to auction $35 billion in 2-year notes at 1pm ET.

S&P Support Remains 1120; Markets On A Bumpy Ride

Monday, August 22nd, 2011

Stocks squeezed out a small gain in light, choppy trading Monday, erasing most of the session’s earlier gains as traders were hesitant to fully jump in without any proper market conviction. Investors grappled with an uncertain economic outlook ahead of a key speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 37 points, or 0.34 percent, to finish at 10,854.65 a key support above 10,800. The S&P notched up 0.29 points, or 0.03 percent, to close at 1,123.82 above the key support of 1120. Financial institutions were among the biggest drag in the markets.

At the end of the week, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke as he makes his widely-anticipated speech at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming symposium. Investors will watch for any signs of a possible round of asset purchases QE3 (also known as quantitative easing) which will likely help bolster the stock market temporarily. QE2 did not support markets permanently as we currently see.

Investors remain are also concerned about the debt problems in Europe, where policymakers have yet to propose a long-term solution. But he said business and consumer confidence in the United States may not be a weak as many investors had feared.

Meanwhile gold surged to settle at $1,891 an ounce, another all-time high, as investors fled to the commodity as a safe-haven play amid fears of another U.S. recession and the euro zone’s ongoing debt crisis.

US Markets To Continue Sell Off Friday

Friday, August 19th, 2011

U.S. stocks were headed for another day of losses Friday, as worries of a global slowdown and Europe’s debt crisis sparked a second sell-off in global markets. Dow Jones industrial Average (DJIA) down (100), S&P 500 (SPX) down (9) to 1130  futures fell more than 1% ahead of the opening bell. Many investors are concerned the world economy is on the brink of another recession. European stocks approached two-year lows in Friday morning trade after already suffering heavy losses on Thursday. Fears that euro zone leaders would not be able to contain the debt crisis weighed on stocks, as did concerns over funding for European banks. Europeans are playing with fire and delaying the inevitable. They need to gurantee the back stop from bank losses. Commodities also suffered on Friday, with oil lower amid concerns about global growth. Meanwhile gold (NYSE:GLD) continued to touch new highs at $1875.

A day after Morgan Stanley cut global growth forecasts and said the United States and Europe are “dangerously close to a recession,” Deutsche Bank downgraded its growth outlook for China. The German investment bank said a slowdown or recession in the U.S. or European economies would be “the single most important shock to the Chinese economy,” and could slow the nation’s GDP growth to 7%. In 2010, China’s economy grew at a robust rate above 10%, and is forecast to grow more than 9% in 2011.

Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase trimmed its fourth-quarter U.S. GDP annual growth estimate to 1%, down from its previous projection of 2.5%. The bank also lowered its outook for the first quarter of 2012 to a 0.5% annual growth rate from 1.5%, warning that the risks of a recession are “are clearly elevated.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar firmed against the euro and British pound, and was flat versus the Japanese yen. Looks like the dollar may be primed for a teporary run up as the Euro has been a steady down trend. Oil for September delivery slipped $1.50 to $80.88 a barrel, having fallen as low as $79.17 earlier in the session.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell slightly, pushing the yield up to 2.09% from 2.08% late Thursday.

Next Week:

MONDAY: Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index
TUESDAY: New home sales, Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey, 2-Yr Note Auction; Earnings from Heinz
WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, durable goods orders, oil inventories, 5-yr note auction; Earnings from Toll Brothers, Applied Materials, TiVo
THURSDAY: Weekly jobless claims, 7-yr note auction, Medtronic shareholders mtg, USDA food prices outlook; Earnings from Hormel, Pandora
FRIDAY: GDP, corproate profits, consumer sentiment, Bernanke speaks, short-sale bans expire; Earnings from Tiffany